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Secretary of State Kerry "Year and a half to two years, or it's over."

Yesterday, at a hearing of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Secretary of State Kerry stated:

"But I can guarantee you that I am committed to this because I believe the window for a two state solution is shutting. I think we have some period of time in the year to year and half to 2 years, or it's over."

Back in March, APN's Lara Friedman said something very similar:

My colleague, renowned Jerusalem expert Daniel Seidemann, recently observed that he and I are part of a shrinking minority who still argue that the window is closing on the two-state solution. We are caught between those who believe the two-state solution is already dead and those who insist it can never be killed. The former come both from the depressed left and exultant right. The latter is composed primarily of former U.S. officials - like [Dennis] Ross and Elliot Abrams -- who have long advocated U.S. policies grounded in twin articles of faith: that the U.S. should avoid clashing with any Israeli government, and that the Palestinians will ultimately accept whatever Israel and the U.S. agree is a reasonable solution to the conflict, regardless of its details.


The truth is, the two-state solution -- in terms of facts on the ground -- is still alive, but it is neither immortal nor infinitely malleable. This is not merely a subjective statement. A clear lesson of decades of Israeli-Palestinian peace efforts is that three concrete conditions must exist for the two-state solution to be possible. First, it must be possible to delineate a border based on the 1967 lines that leaves two politically and economically viable, maximally contiguous states. Second, this border must allow for a politically and economically viable Israeli capital in Israeli Jerusalem and a politically and economically viable Palestinian capital in East Jerusalem. Third, it must be possible to compensate for changes in the 1967 lines through land swaps carried out on a one-to-one ratio.

At present, all three conditions exist, but barely. If current trends continue, particularly around East a short time all three conditions will have been eliminated.